Impact of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) on Pakistan’s Trade: Empirical Evidence from Gravity Model

Authors

  • Imran Sharif Chaudhry Professor/Director, School of Economics, Bahauddin Zakariya University Multan, Pakistan
  • Faitma Gulzar Lecturer, Department of Economics, Ghazi University, D G. Khan-Pakistan
  • Hafiz Gulfam Ahmad Lecturer, Department of Computer Science, Ghazi University, D. G. khan-Pakistan
  • Saeed ur Rahman CPEC, Gravity Approach, Pakistan Export, Fruit Market

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26710/reads.v3i1.164

Keywords:

CPEC, Gravity Approach, Pakistan Export, Fruit Market

Abstract

Purpose: The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is an
enormous project for both economies. There are much potential
remunerations for concerning frugalities in trade and industries of both
countries. The study was specifically designed to examine the influence of
CPEC on fruits export of Pakistan. The bilateral or regional trade was
examined through Gravity approach. Data was taken from 2013 to 2015.
Since distance plays a vital role in trade, the outcomes of gravity model are
estimated with ordinary least square method. Pakistan China Economic
Corridor is a mega project for both economies. It will make Pakistan and
China, the major economic players in the region and further enhance
economic conditions of both countries. Some of the basic determinations of
Pak-China economic corridor are to boost business opportunities, efficient
transport routes and expanding regional trade. The export target of Pakistan
was $ US 20 billion in 2013-2015. As of April 2015, Pakistan exports stand
at $ US 6,178 billion. Pakistan’s exports to Asia was amounted to $ US
1,649 billion which was 42 percent of its overall exports and the share of
fruit and nuts markets in Pakistan’s export was $ US 1,017 billion. The
paper analyses the CPEC’s impact on exports especially exports from fruit
market of Pakistan using Gravity Approach for the evaluation of this
bilateral trade. The results show that CPEC reduces the distance and it will
be more beneficial for perishable goods trade like fruits.

References

Abid, M., & Ashfaq, A. (2015). CPEC: Challenges and opportunities for Pakistan. Journal of Pakistan

Vision, 16(2), 142-169.

Anderson, J. E., & Van Wincoop, E. (2003). Gravity with gravitas: a solution to the border puzzle. The

American economic review, 93(1), 170-192.

Baier, S. L., & Bergstrand, J. H. (2007). Do free trade agreements actually increase members'

international trade?. Journal of international Economics, 71(1), 72-95.

Chaudhri, M. A. (1986). Strategic and Military Dimensions in Pakistan-China Relations. Pakistan

Horizon, 39(4), 15-28.

Dixit, A. (1987). Sino-Paki Relations and Their Implications for India. Strategic Analysis, 11(9), 1067-

Garcia-Alvarez-Coque, J. M., & Martí-Selva, M. L. (2006). A gravity approach to assess the effects of

Association Agreements on Euromediterranean trade of fruits and vegetables.

Indicators, O. E. C. D. (2007). Education at a Glance 2007. Table B1. 1b, www. oecd.

org/dataoecd/36/4/40701218. pdf, 187.

Kayani, F., Ahmed, M., Shah, T. A., & Kayani, U. N. (2013). China-Pakistan Economic Relations:

Lessons for Pakistan.

Martínez-Zarzoso, I., & Nowak-Lehmann, F. (2003). Augmented gravity model: An empirical application

to Mercosur-European Union trade flows. Journal of applied economics, 6(2), 291-316.

Nilsson, L., & Matsson, N. (2009). Truths and myths about the openness of EU trade policy and the use of

EU trade preferences. Brussels, European Commission Directorate General for Trade Working

Paper–2009.

Tinbergen, J. (1962). Shaping the World Economy The Twentieth Century Fund. New York.

Zhao, W., Van Antwerp, S., Lim, J., & Chow, N. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for

Asia and the Pacific

Downloads

Published

2020-07-25

How to Cite

Imran Sharif Chaudhry, Faitma Gulzar, Hafiz Gulfam Ahmad, & Saeed ur Rahman. (2020). Impact of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) on Pakistan’s Trade: Empirical Evidence from Gravity Model. Review of Economics and Development Studies, 3(1), 29-38. https://doi.org/10.26710/reads.v3i1.164

Most read articles by the same author(s)